Features of climate and geographical distribution of atmospheric precipitations in the south of Ukraine

Formulation of the problem. The concept implementing state policy in field climate change until 2030, which aims to develop a national program and prevent reduction risks associated with them different regions Ukraine. research was performed accordance objectives formulated works Odessa State Ecological University on following topics: «Regime precipitation Ukraine late XX early XXI centuries» (№ SR 0111U000590); «Forecasting dangerous meteorological phenomena over southern Ukraine» 00115U006532); «Comprehensive method probabilistic prognostic modeling extreme hydrological rivers ensure sustainable water use change» 0121U010964). Problems further research. results presented article, course, can not be considered exhaustive terms determining impact only two climatic signals that form spatial distribution solution problems future will directed consideration other known teleconnections Northern Southern Hemispheres involvement additional equidistant empirical data. purpose. This article identify features winter season determine responses (North Atlantic North Caspian fluctuations) their fields (Odessa, Mykolaiv, Kherson, Zaporizhia region Autonomous Republic Crimea). Research methods. implementation an integrated statistical approach carried out three stages methods multidimensional cartographic analysis non-stationary random processes. subject study is series monthly for December, January, February at 40 stations time average values indices large-scale interaction pressure - (NAO) (NCP) fluctuations each month period 1962-2006. Presentation main material. Objective clustering territory has been basis long-term data precipitation. In south, 2 generalized clusters have identified, statistically sound characterized by mean vector. structure these analyzed, allowed predict trends studied 2025-2030 Studies Euro-Mediterranean macro-processes amount show complexity ambiguity relationships months Practical value. obtained models maps-schemes take into account directions transfer basic substances, turn help (in compiling forecast precipitation) understand contribution Hemisphere formation indicator. results. south December rainfall decrease compared beginning century. Zaporozhye expected fall next 20-30 years. For rest January within (15-45 mm). presence linear correlation between Oscillation determined (with probability 90%); February, combined effects Sea-Caspian oscillations. Ukraine, some probability, it possible establish under consideration.